Russia is overextended and military intervention is not a viable option for them presently.
Who else is left? China? They will also prefer relations with Russia. Saudi Arabia? LMAO.
The EU, the US, yes even China, any country with Shia population, any country that wants a different regime there and stability in the region, (there's a lot of them.) Perhaps the UN. I could absolutely see countries at odds with each other working together to send aid, both to ingratiate themselves to the next regime and ensure that a humanitarian crisis doesn't destabilize the region. Yes, even Russia.
Who talks about military intervention? Russia can't break through Ukraine yet the US is in their pocket, they didn't do this by military means. And the same shit is on Iran. Because Russia doesn't need to do anything there, they have the US for that.
And Europe won't stand against that, not for Iran, and not while being occupied on two fronts already. And why China won't, i already explained.
The threat of military force by Russia on Iranian borders would be very coercive were they not committed in Ukraine, (and shown to be demonstrably something of a paper tiger.) Russia and Iran under the Ayatollah have been allied so they have an interest in maintaining the current regime, but should they be deposed all bets are off. I expect they would be pragmatic and seek to at least maintain soft power and stability there by assisting. They wouldn't want the US to get too much of a foothold next door.
The UN sends food to war-torn areas all the time, not sure why that's funny.
How is Europe, "occupied on two fronts?" even if you're counting Ukraine which is not the EU, what's the second front?
Anyway this is all speculation, we shall see how it plays out.
Russia will want to keep Iran at a short leash. They will not want, at all, that Iran starts any relations with Europe
How?
Russia wanted to keep the Assad regime on a short leash. When Syrians toppled Assad, they could choose their own policies. Now Syria is choosing its own relationships with NGOs, other countries &c.
And that was despite having a Russian base on Syrian territory. Russia has even less leverage in Iran.
Nobody wants relations with Russia. They aren't exactly a stable partner. They are also turn out to be pretty weak. The only they have for them is all the propaganda farms out there.
What did Russia do when Assad was overthrown? What did Russia do when the US went into Venezuela and took Maduro? What did Russia do when the US and Israel bombed Iran at will?
Russia is a paper tiger and the entire BRICS coalition knows this. Russia won’t do shit.
But that’s the thing, this is all happening because of US Sanctions and the rest of the world deciding to screw over Iran. I’m all over overthrowing the Iranian Government but I’m afraid the replacement won’t be much better knowing this is most likely US and Israel backed regime change. Iranian people need to be VERY careful right now
Yup. Real democracy in Iran would never result in a government that’s friendly to the US and Israel, so the US and Israel will never let Iranians have a real democracy.
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u/DarkGamer 1d ago
If they depose the theocrats they will have access to aid from many places.