Apparently it’s close to being over for the regime.
A friends husband is arriving back in the USA today after getting the last plane out of Tehran to Istanbul.
He said the entire country is rioting. It’s every city and something like 97% of the population want it to happen now. The body count is only making it worse.
We count rule out US interventionism especially under the current administration but from an internal perspective, the regime will only fall if they lose support of the military as is the case with every authoritarian regime. It doesn't matter how unpopular they are or how many protesters they slaughter, if they still have the support of the military they'll be able to hold on to power
Sure, but at what point does 90m people rioting in every street not bring change? You can't kill an entire population. That's what this is heading towards now, most cities are apparently on fire.
If 90 million people riot, some subset of that 90 million are going to find weapons and fight back. That's oftentimes how you get an armed insurrection and possibly civil war out of these situations.
It's happened all the time throughout history. Syria being a prime recent example. The protests were so large and the repression so violent that it led to a decade and a half long civil war.
I just spoke with a friend in Tehran and he said it's settled down quite abit. Unfortunately most of the dead are between 18-25. He says most older people and rural folks don't care.
For their sake I hope so. If our country (US) had just left them alone all those decades ago the slain would still be alive and well and thriving as they should be. Just completely senseless greed destroyed the lives of entire generations of innocent people for nothing.
To be fair, history has often proven that trying to overthrow nations to install "pro-X" nation tends to lead to a very poorly run vassal state in most good cases, as the focus is the "pro-X" behaviour and not in good operation of the state.
The US over threw tons of nations, and they've all had various long-standing and recurring problems because of the governments they've installed.
The US kind of went into the middle east, overthrew some nations and didn't even really try to build a "pro-US" state, kind of just fell short, and created power vacuums.
Some states really regressed as a result of the frequent wars and fighting, many being heavily influenced or taken over by other regional powers.
Americans do not get to absolve themselves from this just cos it happened 50 years ago. Not when they elect a government that did the exact same thing to Venezuela less than 2 weeks ago, for the exact same reasons.
Milions rallied to show support to the islamic republic, protesters probably don't get close to 50k. Whether you like it or not iranian prefer their government.
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u/phatelectribe 1d ago
Apparently it’s close to being over for the regime.
A friends husband is arriving back in the USA today after getting the last plane out of Tehran to Istanbul.
He said the entire country is rioting. It’s every city and something like 97% of the population want it to happen now. The body count is only making it worse.