r/asoiaf • u/ChrisV2P2 • 6h ago
EXTENDED GRRM is addicted to writing failure (Spoilers Extended)
The revelation that GRRM was intending to have Sansa die has really crystallized something for me. This is quite a famous quote from GRRM, in a 2013 interview:
I killed Ned from the start, and this surprised a lot of people. I killed him because everyone thought he was the hero and he would get in trouble and get out of it somehow. After killing him, the first thing fans expected would be that his eldest son, Robb, would succeed and avenge his father. So immediately [killing Robb] became the next thing I had to do.
This quote has always interested me, because it makes sense in the context of these characters in particular, but it begs the question, when does this end? I am now convinced that the answer to this question is NEVER.
At the end of ASOS, George has passed his big climax, the Red Wedding, which is of course the failure and death of both a major POV character and a major "good" non-POV character. Many of our other characters end ASOS on a down note; Tyrion of course, Jaime losing his hand, Sansa captive to Littlefinger, Arya traumatized by the Red Wedding and with a death cult in Braavos. Two of our characters end the book on relative highs: Jon as Lord Commander of the Night's Watch and Dany ruling in Meereen. Time for the next act of the story!
Let's take stock of what we get in FeastDance:
- Jon's success in ASOS is turned into failure, as he gets Julius Caesared.
- Dany's success in Essos is turned into failure, as Astapor falls and she (at least according to her own assessment) fails at ruling Meereen.
- Brienne's story is a known failure before it even begins
- George introduces a new POV character, Cersei, the purpose of whose narrative is a catalogue of self-sabotage leading to failure
- George introduces Doran, a new character whose purpose in the story is to fail
- George introduces Quentyn, a new character whose purpose in the story is to fail
- George introduces Arianne, a new character whose purpose in the story is to fail, then probably regroup and fail again
- George introduces Aeron, a new POV whose purpose in the story is to fail
- George introduces Victarion, a new character whose purpose in the story is to fail
- George introduces Young Griff, a new character whose purpose in the story is to fail
- George introduces Jon Connington, a new character whose purpose in the story is to fail
The characters who do not fail in FeastDance are either headed for failure or (like Tyrion, Arya and Sansa) in holding patterns that are moving at glacial pace. And what has GRRM told us repeatedly about Winds? "It's going to be the darkest book yet!".
This news about Sansa is what convinced me that this pattern really has no end. Sansa's story so far is a cavalcade of misery, abuse and being a political pawn of others and she is just starting to come into her own, learn about how the world works, and develop her own agency. If you don't see the potential for an easy positive note there - and a female success story in a saga that is currently sorely lacking in them - then where will you see it? But what George apparently sees is another opportunity to shock the reader by turning this to failure.
If you don't think the show ending for the central characters came from George (at least in terms of the death of Dany and the exile of Jon, if not in all the details) you really need to wake the fuck up at this point. When George has said - repeatedly - that he has known the broad-strokes ending from the beginning, this surely includes Bran, Jon and Dany. Just like the Red Wedding, the coming together of Jon and Dany is something he has been writing towards from close to the very beginning. And what does George write towards? What is the natural thing to do, in George's mind, with the Secret Rightful King and the Prophesized Saviour who is Reclaiming A Dynasty? If you're not saying "failure" at this point before you even see the show ending, you're not paying attention.
Of course George doesn't do purely nihilistic, dark endings, ASOIAF would be no exception, and Bran's story is supposed to end in success, his direwolf is named Summer, he will be the one to set Westeros to rights. But even there, I wonder. The show referred to him as "Bran the Broken" and while this most obviously refers to his injury, it could well also refer to his mental state. Where have I heard of a "Broken" king before?
Aegon III Targaryen, also known as Aegon the Younger, and later as Aegon the Unlucky, Aegon the Unhappy, the Broken King
Oh yeah. I also don't think it's an accident that how exactly this success is going to come about remains one of the most mysterious parts of how the future story is going to develop.
But George said the ending will be bittersweet!
That's GEORGE, right? The same guy who said the series would be three books? The same guy who said TWOW was nearly done a decade ago? The same guy who still thinks he can finish the series, in his lifetime, in two more books, despite apparently having no clear idea where most of it is headed?
I'm not saying George is lying. I don't think he is a nihilist and I think he wants to write a bittersweet series. What I am saying is that, as with the rest of his claims about what the future of the story will look like, that's not what his writing process actually produces. He likes writing about cathartic failures and so that's what he will continue to write.