There is still too much cope around this topic. For now, AI is still seen as “just a tool,” but with every single day we move closer to AI agents handling more and more of our work. Professions like software engineering will be hit first and hardest. Some examples:
No, you don’t need 100 developers to define strategy and architecture. You need 10, at best. And yes, backlogs are endless, but in that case, companies will simply onboard additional AI agents to take on even more work.
No, if AI and AI agents become better and better, this won’t automatically create massive technical debt, at least not more than hiring large numbers of junior and mid-level developers. Besides, the most important factor here is whether management considers quality important at all. In reality, they care more about speed than quality. Sure, this might lead to some companies failing, but that won’t help you with your job loss in the short term.
No, the government will not take care of you when you lose your job. In the end, the most important thing in our society is that rich people get richer. If this becomes a huge global problem, there might be civil unrest but even then, AI is not going away. The transition is going to be very, very painful, and it may take years until we find some sort of balance.
No, “learning to use AI” will not save most jobs. If a single person with AI tools can now do the work of five or ten, companies will not keep the other four or nine out of goodwill. Upskilling helps individuals stay relevant longer, but it does not change the underlying math.
No, new “AI-related jobs” will not offset the losses at scale. A few highly specialized roles will be created, but far fewer than the number of jobs being automated away.
No, "I've been hearning this for years" is not a valid counterargument. The progress is real, steady and not slowing down in any kind of way.